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FIFA WORLD CUP·THU, JUN 11 · 19:00

MexicovsSouth Africa

Sharp-line model
Updated every scan

Match result

1 · X · 2

Total goals

Line 2.5
No totals line for this match.

Total corners

Our model hasn't calibrated corners for this fixture yet — needs team corner history + referee assignment.

Total cards

Our model hasn't calibrated cards for this fixture yet — needs team card history + referee assignment.

Player markets

Mexico
Anytime scorer
  • Raúl Jiménez42%
  • Richard Ledezma28%
  • Brian Gutierrez28%
  • Guillermo Martínez28%
  • Germán Berterame22%
Yellow card risk
  • César Montes32%
  • Raúl Jiménez14%
  • Edson Álvarez8%
South Africa
Anytime scorer
  • Ashley Cupido39%
  • Sinoxolo Kwayiba39%
  • Oswin Appollis32%
  • Themba Zwane31%
  • Iqraam Rayners28%
Yellow card risk
  • Lyle Foster22%

Team form & stats

Mexicohome
Last 5
DDWWW
1.40
Goals/game
0.90
Conceded/game
28%
BTTS %
38%
Over 2.5 %
8.5
Corners/game
2.05
Cards/game
South Africaaway
Last 5
WLDLD
1.52
Goals/game
0.85
Conceded/game
45%
BTTS %
45%
Over 2.5 %
7.6
Corners/game
1.66
Cards/game
Probabilities come from our sharp-line calibration model — we take the tightest public line on the match, strip out bookmaker margin via the power method, and surface the calibrated implied probability. Not our forecast, not a recommendation — the market's consensus made honest.