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BRAZIL SÉRIE A·SAT, MAY 30 · 20:30

BahiavsBotafogo

Sharp-line model
Updated every scan

Match result

1 · X · 2

Total goals

Line 2.5
No totals line for this match.

Both teams to score

Yes · No · our Poisson model

Total corners

6 lines
Line
Over
Under
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
12.5

Total cards

6 lines
Line
Over
Under
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5

Player markets

Bahia
Anytime scorer
  • Willian Jose51%
  • Everaldo43%
  • Luciano Juba42%
  • Erick38%
  • David Duarte10%
Yellow card risk
  • Luciano Juba30%
  • Everaldo23%
  • Jean Lucas15%
Botafogo
Anytime scorer
  • Jordan Barrera62%
  • Arthur Cabral33%
  • L. M. Villalba Jaume33%
  • Danilo31%
  • Alex Telles29%
Yellow card risk
  • L. M. Villalba Jaume17%
  • Arthur Cabral13%
  • Alex Telles13%

Team form & stats

Bahiahome
Last 5
LLDDL
1.36
Goals/game
1.25
Conceded/game
55%
BTTS %
55%
Over 2.5 %
9.8
Corners/game
2.33
Cards/game
Botafogoaway
Last 5
DDLDW
1.64
Goals/game
1.26
Conceded/game
49%
BTTS %
53%
Over 2.5 %
9.5
Corners/game
2.47
Cards/game
Probabilities come from our sharp-line calibration model — we take the tightest public line on the match, strip out bookmaker margin via the power method, and surface the calibrated implied probability. Not our forecast, not a recommendation — the market's consensus made honest.