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BRAZIL SÉRIE B·SAT, MAY 30 · 21:00

Athletic Club (MG)vsFortaleza

Sharp-line model
Updated every scan

Match result

1 · X · 2

Total goals

Line 2.5
No totals line for this match.

Both teams to score

Yes · No · our Poisson model

Total corners

6 lines
Line
Over
Under
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
12.5

Total cards

6 lines
Line
Over
Under
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5

Player markets

Athletic Club (MG)
Anytime scorer
  • R. Tavares15%
  • Bruninho14%
  • Ian Luccas14%
  • Jota8%
  • Kauan Rodrigues5%
Yellow card risk
  • Jota40%
  • Bruninho35%
  • Ruan Assis17%
Fortaleza
Anytime scorer
  • Vitinho44%
  • J. B. Miritello28%
  • Maílton15%
  • Luiz Fernando14%
  • Welliton12%
Yellow card risk
  • Ryan33%
  • Luan Martins32%
  • Luiz Fernando20%

Team form & stats

Athletic Club (MG)home
Last 5
DDLLD
1.07
Goals/game
1.27
Conceded/game
55%
BTTS %
46%
Over 2.5 %
9.9
Corners/game
3.02
Cards/game
Fortalezaaway
Last 5
WDWDW
1.71
Goals/game
0.57
Conceded/game
43%
BTTS %
57%
Over 2.5 %
8.1
Corners/game
2.86
Cards/game
Probabilities come from our sharp-line calibration model — we take the tightest public line on the match, strip out bookmaker margin via the power method, and surface the calibrated implied probability. Not our forecast, not a recommendation — the market's consensus made honest.