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COPA LIBERTADORES·THU, MAY 28 · 00:30

Peñarol MontevideovsIndependiente Santa Fe

Sharp-line model
Updated every scan

Match result

1 · X · 2

Total goals

7 lines
Line
Over
Under
1.5
1.75
2.0
2.25
2.5
2.75
3.5

Both teams to score

Yes · No · our Poisson model

Total corners

Our model hasn't calibrated corners for this fixture yet — needs team corner history + referee assignment.

Total cards

Our model hasn't calibrated cards for this fixture yet — needs team card history + referee assignment.

Player markets

Peñarol Montevideo
Anytime scorer
  • Lucas Hernandez46%
  • David Terans43%
  • Facundo Batista33%
  • Maximiliano Olivera26%
  • Nicolás Fernández15%
Yellow card risk
  • Nicolás Fernández61%
  • Facundo Batista36%
  • Maximiliano Olivera34%
Independiente Santa Fe
Anytime scorer
  • H. Rodallega54%
  • Franco Fagúndez40%
  • A. Zapata35%
  • Nahuel Bustos34%
  • Emanuel Olivera11%
Yellow card risk
  • Nahuel Bustos30%
  • H. Rodallega23%
  • A. Zapata20%

Team form & stats

Peñarol Montevideohome
Last 5
DDLLL
1.54
Goals/game
1.08
Conceded/game
46%
BTTS %
46%
Over 2.5 %
7.8
Corners/game
2.50
Cards/game
Independiente Santa Feaway
Last 5
WDLL
1.00
Goals/game
1.50
Conceded/game
75%
BTTS %
50%
Over 2.5 %
8.8
Corners/game
3.00
Cards/game
Probabilities come from our sharp-line calibration model — we take the tightest public line on the match, strip out bookmaker margin via the power method, and surface the calibrated implied probability. Not our forecast, not a recommendation — the market's consensus made honest.