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UEFA CHAMPIONS LEAGUE·SAT, MAY 30 · 16:00

Paris Saint GermainvsArsenal

Sharp-line model
Updated every scan

Match result

1 · X · 2

Total goals

Line 2.5

Both teams to score

Yes · No · our Poisson model

Total corners

6 lines
Line
Over
Under
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
12.5

Total cards

6 lines
Line
Over
Under
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5

Player markets

Paris Saint Germain
Anytime scorer
  • K. Kvaratskhelia35%
  • O. Dembele24%
  • Gonçalo Ramos20%
  • D. Doue16%
  • Senny Mayulu15%
Yellow card risk
  • K. Kvaratskhelia14%
  • Gonçalo Ramos13%
  • Senny Mayulu8%
Arsenal
Anytime scorer
  • Viktor Gyökeres39%
  • K. Havertz35%
  • M. Dowman27%
  • Gabriel Jesus26%
  • N. Madueke24%
Yellow card risk
  • K. Havertz14%
  • Gabriel Jesus8%
  • Declan Rice7%

Team form & stats

Paris Saint Germainhome
Last 5
DWWWD
2.55
Goals/game
1.27
Conceded/game
68%
BTTS %
73%
Over 2.5 %
9.1
Corners/game
1.14
Cards/game
Arsenalaway
Last 5
WDWWD
1.94
Goals/game
0.61
Conceded/game
39%
BTTS %
50%
Over 2.5 %
8.6
Corners/game
1.83
Cards/game
Probabilities come from our sharp-line calibration model — we take the tightest public line on the match, strip out bookmaker margin via the power method, and surface the calibrated implied probability. Not our forecast, not a recommendation — the market's consensus made honest.