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LEAGUE OF IRELAND·FRI, MAY 29 · 18:45

DundalkvsDerry City

Sharp-line model
Updated every scan

Match result

1 · X · 2

Total goals

8 lines
Line
Over
Under
1.5
2.0
2.25
2.5
2.75
3.0
3.5
4.5

Both teams to score

Yes · No · our Poisson model

Total corners

Our model hasn't calibrated corners for this fixture yet — needs team corner history + referee assignment.

Total cards

Our model hasn't calibrated cards for this fixture yet — needs team card history + referee assignment.

Player markets

Dundalk
Anytime scorer
  • Daryl Horgan26%
  • G. Arubi17%
  • A. Dervin10%
  • T. Wilson8%
  • M. Animasahun6%
Yellow card risk
  • M. Animasahun44%
  • Tyreke Wilson35%
  • R. Teahan27%
Derry City
Anytime scorer
  • H. Rylah42%
  • J. Olayinka20%
  • J. Clarke19%
  • Eddie Beach1%
  • Shea Callister1%
Yellow card risk
  • Barry Cotter40%
  • Jamie Stott26%
  • H. Rylah9%

Team form & stats

Dundalkhome
Last 5
DWLDL
1.17
Goals/game
1.83
Conceded/game
67%
BTTS %
50%
Over 2.5 %
10.3
Corners/game
2.83
Cards/game
Derry Cityaway
Last 5
DDDLD
0.71
Goals/game
0.71
Conceded/game
43%
BTTS %
14%
Over 2.5 %
9.4
Corners/game
3.29
Cards/game
Probabilities come from our sharp-line calibration model — we take the tightest public line on the match, strip out bookmaker margin via the power method, and surface the calibrated implied probability. Not our forecast, not a recommendation — the market's consensus made honest.