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BRAZIL SÉRIE A·SAT, MAY 30 · 19:00

FlamengovsCoritiba

Sharp-line model
Updated every scan

Match result

1 · X · 2

Total goals

Line 2.5

Both teams to score

Yes · No · our Poisson model

Total corners

6 lines
Line
Over
Under
7.5
8.5
9.5
10.5
11.5
12.5

Total cards

6 lines
Line
Over
Under
1.5
2.5
3.5
4.5
5.5
6.5

Player markets

Flamengo
Anytime scorer
  • Pedro43%
  • Lucas Paqueta35%
  • G. de Arrascaeta32%
  • Luiz Araujo28%
  • Bruno Henrique20%
Yellow card risk
  • Evertton Araujo24%
  • Luiz Araujo15%
  • Lucas Paqueta15%
Coritiba
Anytime scorer
  • Breno Lopes31%
  • Pedro Rocha20%
  • Tiago Coser8%
  • Jacy6%
  • Sebastian Gomez6%
Yellow card risk
  • Tiago Coser24%
  • Lucas Ronier22%
  • Sebastian Gomez21%

Team form & stats

Flamengohome
Last 5
LWDWW
1.89
Goals/game
0.81
Conceded/game
43%
BTTS %
53%
Over 2.5 %
9.8
Corners/game
2.34
Cards/game
Coritibaaway
Last 5
WDLLW
1.27
Goals/game
1.27
Conceded/game
47%
BTTS %
33%
Over 2.5 %
9.9
Corners/game
1.67
Cards/game
Probabilities come from our sharp-line calibration model — we take the tightest public line on the match, strip out bookmaker margin via the power method, and surface the calibrated implied probability. Not our forecast, not a recommendation — the market's consensus made honest.